Are the good-old summer days coming back?
Remember the times a big group of friends or family would gather around a grill, while enjoying the nice warm weather outside? Seems like science fiction in our post-Covid19 world. The question in everybody’s mind is: are we getting closer to returning to our old ways of being?
Expert says that we cannot expect to return to normal until we reach two endpoints. The first is stabilizing the positive corona cases in your region. Even with an aggressive vaccine roll-out, cases might spike again and lockdown measures return until we reach the second endpoint: herd immunity.
We are getting closer to herd immunity in many part of the world. It is likely to happen by the third quarter of this year in the US and UK, and by the fourth quarter in Europe.
With efficient vaccines together with improved Covid-19 treatments, it is likely that the pandemic will be over by the start of 2022. However, there are risks to herd immunity and these factors will play a significant role in determining when we can cut down on social distancing in the near future.
Risks at hand:
- People hesitating to take the vaccine.
- Duration of vaccine-mediated immunity may be shorter than anticipated.
- Supply-chain disruptions and delays with delivery of the vaccine.
- Variants of the virus may prove to reduce efficacy of current vaccines.
The saga is not yet over, but there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic. We hope by the summer 2022, live concerts, big weddings and large sport stadiums can all be attended by large crowds.
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